• Eyes On Bangladesh, America and Venezuela[

Decis Monday Briefing & Weekly Country Stability Matrix - July 22 2024

Andrew Sheves Good morning.

Here’s a quick round-up of some significant stories to help you prepare for the week(s) ahead. But first, the stability matrix.

Apologies but you’ll need to turn your phone and zoom in if you’re reading this on a mobile - I’ll work on enlarging the matrix over time.

Reminder: a downward arrow signifies the location is more turbulent, whereas an upward arrow means calmer

Is somewhere important to you missing? Hit ‘reply’ and we’ll get them added to the matrix.

Events of interest that we’re monitoring.

🇧🇩 Bangladesh

Bangladesh is assessed as stable but **more turbulent **than normal.

Bangladesh is experiencing the most turbulence it has faced in years as students — and a growing range of supporters — protest a reinstituted job quota law. The Bangladeshi Supreme Court has overturned the rule but deaths related to the protests have now topped 100 and the demonstrators’ grievances seem to have expanded to a broader critique of Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina’s rule.

This raises the stakes for the government with respect to curbing the protests, as a widespread revolt would be much more difficult to deal with than single-issue protests.

Organizations with significant exposure to Bangladesh should take steps to adapt to widespread, sustained disruptions to operations there.

Businesses without a direct flow of goods from Bangladesh should review their supply chains to determine how any widespread disruption might affect them. (See below.)

Bangladesh: Main Exports and Export Destinations

(2020, via Wikipedia)

Exported goods

Cotton textiles and knitwear, jute and jute goods, fish and seafood, leather and leather goods, home textiles, pharmaceuticals, processed food, plastics, bicycles.

**Main export partners **(showing the percent of exported goods to a destination)

Germany(+) 16%

United States(+) 15.2%

United Kingdom(+) 7.41%

Spain(+) 7.17%

Poland(+) 5.552%

France(+) 4.2%

Netherlands(+) 3.55%

Italy(+) 3.36%

Want more on planning for supply chain disruption? (Of course you do!)

Get the Supply Chain deep dive report here

Here’s the Decis News Summary for Bangladesh for the period July 15 - July 21.

This week’s critical events in Bangladesh centered around widespread student protests and violent clashes over government job quotas, resulting in numerous casualties and significant civil unrest. The protests, which began over quotas in government jobs reserved for veterans’ families, [SOURCE] quickly escalated into broader anti-government demonstrations. The death toll from the protests rose sharply, with reports indicating at least 32 people killed [SOURCE], although some sources claimed even higher numbers. The violence led to the destruction of property, including the torching of a state

Carpe tomorrow!