Ukraine 0 - Russia 1

Andrew Sheves Good morning.

🇺🇦 Ukraine cannot join NATO and must accept territorial losses, according to the US Secretary of Defense whose comments were closely followed by an announcement by President Trump that he and Russia’s Vladimir Putin had met by phone and agreed to start negotiations on Ukraine’s future. Cut out of discussions, NATO allies and Ukrainian leaders were left shocked at the announcements which concede to two of Russia’s main demands before negotiations begin. [More - Bloomberg]

Trump is also signaling that the US will provide no troops or military aid to secure Ukraine after any peace deal and that any ongoing US military support would be conditioned on repayment, possibly by supplies of rare earth minerals. This places the entire burden on Europe and strips Ukraine of revenue for reconstruction, further weakening the post-conflict situation in Europe. Bloomberg has a deep financial analysis of the costs of the likely outcomes.

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Key Metrics

WTI is $73.52 (Down)

Low |——— < ———-| High

Wheat is $185.794 (Up)

Low |——— > ———-| High

EuroDollar is $1.04 (Down)

Low |—- < —————| High

YuanDollar is $0.14 (Unchanged)

Low |———- < > ———| High

Graphs are illustrative to show comparative price over last 180 days

Metrics via AlphaVantage updated Feb 12 2025 21:16 UTC

Asia Stability Ratings and News Summary

More Unstable

🇦🇫 Afghanistan, 🇦🇲 Armenia, 🇦🇿 Azerbaijan, 🇧🇩 Bangladesh, 🇧🇹 Bhutan, 🇰🇭 Cambodia, 🇨🇳 China, 🇹🇱 East Timor, 🇬🇪 Georgia, 🇰🇬 Kyrgyzstan, 🇱🇦 Laos, 🇲🇻 Maldives, 🇲🇳 Mongolia, 🇲🇲 Myanmar, 🇳🇵 Nepal, 🇰🇵 North Korea, 🇵🇰 Pakistan, 🇵🇭 Philippines, 🇰🇷 South Korea, 🇱🇰 Sri Lanka, 🇹🇼 Taiwan, 🇹🇯 Tajikistan, 🇹🇭 Thailand, 🇺🇿 Uzbekistan

More Stable

No countries were more stable over this period

Unchanged

🇧🇳 Brunei, 🇮🇳 India, 🇮🇩 Indonesia, 🇯🇵 Japan, 🇰🇿 Kazakhstan, 🇲🇾 Malaysia, 🇸🇬 Singapore, 🇹🇲 Turkmenistan, 🇻🇳 Vietnam

Asia News Summary

Singapore’s stock market is poised for a positive opening, buoyed by the resilience of its economy and a strong performance of the Singapore Dollar against major currencies. This optimism is further reflected in the real estate sector, where billionaire Quek Leng Chan’s GuocoLand has secured a prime condominium site, indicating robust demand in the property market. Additionally, Cube Highways is set to acquire NIIF’s Athaang Infrastructure Road assets for $725 million, underscor

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