NATO Chief: Ukraine Territory ‘On Table’, Four Al Jazeera Journalists Killed by IDF, Uganda Denies Besigye Bail in Treason Case

Good morning.

🇺🇦 NATO Chief: Ukraine Territory ‘On Table’

NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said this week’s Trump-Putin summit in Alaska may open negotiations about Ukrainian territory, suggesting Ukraine could acknowledge Russia’s de facto control without formal sovereignty recognition. Rutte’s comments come as European leaders conduct “frenetic rounds” of virtual meetings to devise strategy before Friday’s summit, fearing Ukraine could be pressured into accepting significant territorial losses. Vice President JD Vance expects a “very simple” outcome based on current battle lines, while Zelensky maintains Ukraine “won’t - and constitutionally can’t - cede territory,” warning against accepting Putin’s “spin” on negotiations as European officials reaffirm that “international borders must not be changed by force.” More - Bloomberg

🇵🇸 Four Al Jazeera Journalists Killed by IDF

Four Al Jazeera journalists were killed in an Israeli strike near Gaza City’s Al-Shifa Hospital while in a tent at the hospital’s main gate, including correspondents Anas al-Sharif and Mohammed Qreiqeh and cameramen Ibrahim Zaher and Mohammed Noufal. The IDF confirmed targeting al-Sharif, claiming he “served as the head of a terrorist cell in Hamas” and was “responsible for advancing rocket attacks,” though Al Jazeera had previously condemned what it called the IDF’s “campaign of incitement” against its reporters. Al-Sharif, 28, had been posting warnings about intense Israeli bombardment moments before his death, with the killings bringing the total number of journalists confirmed dead since October 2023 to 186 according to the Committee to Protect Journalists. More - BBC

Note - Al Jazeera has updated this number to five killed Al Jazeera

🇺🇬 Uganda Denies Besigye Bail in Treason Case

A Ugandan judge refused bail for veteran opposition leader Kizza Besigye, who has been jailed for nearly nine months on treason charges, ruling he falls 12 days short of the 180-day maximum period for mandatory bail. Judge Emmanuel Baguma said the period only began when Besigye was remanded to civilian court in February, despite his lawyers arguing he should be automatically released. The case has raised concerns about a government crackdown ahead of next year’s national election where 80-year-old President Yoweri Museveni seeks re-election, with Besigye having been forcefully returned from Kenya last November and initially charged in military court before transfer to civilian jurisdiction. More - Al Jazeera

Global Stability Ratings

Reminder: these ratings are generated by the Decis analysis engine, based on events in that location and how these correlate to the Decis stability matrix.

🇦🇫 Afghanistan is Unstable

🇦🇱 Albania is Weak

🇩🇿 Algeria is Weak

🇦🇩 Andorra is Stable

🇦🇴 Angola is Weak

🇦🇬 Antigua and Barbuda is Stable

🇦🇷 Argentina is Stable

🇦🇲 Armenia is Weak

🇦🇺 Australia is Stable

🇦🇹 Austria is Weak

🇦🇿 Azerbaijan is Weak

🇧🇭 Bahrain is Weak

🇧🇩 Bangladesh is Weak

🇧🇧 Barbados is Stable

🇧🇾 Belarus is Unstable

🇧🇪 Belgium is Stable

🇧🇿 Belize is Weak

🇧🇯 Benin is Weak

🇧🇹 Bhutan is Stable

🇧🇴 Bolivia is Weak

🇧🇦 Bosnia And Herzegovina is Weak

🇧🇼 Botswana is Stable

🇧🇷 Brazil is Weak

🇧🇳 Brunei is Stable

🇧🇬 Bulgaria is Weak

🇧🇫 Burkina Faso is Unstable

🇧🇮 Burundi is Weak

🇰🇭 Cambodia is Weak

🇨🇲 Cameroon is Weak

🇨🇦 Canada is Stable

🇨🇻 Cape Verde is Stable

🇨🇫 Central African Republic is Unstable

🇹🇩 Chad is Unstable

🇨🇱 Chile is Stable

🇨🇳 China is Stable

🇨🇴 Colombia is Weak

🇰🇲 Comoros is Weak

🇨🇷 Costa Rica is Stable

🇭🇷 Croatia is Stable

🇨🇺 Cuba is Weak

🇨🇾 Cyprus is Stable

🇨🇿 Czech Republic is Stable

🇨🇩 Democratic Republic Of The Congo is Unstable

🇩🇰 Den

Carpe tomorrow!