Tuesday SITREP: Americas Focus

Good morning, Maduro Threatens ‘Republic in Arms’ Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro stated he would “declare a republic in arms” if attacked by US forces, asserting Washington’s Caribbean naval deployment targets regime change rather than drug trafficking as officially claimed. Maduro alleged the US deployed “eight military ships with 1,200 missiles and a submarine targeting Venezuela,” describing it as “the biggest threat that has been seen on our continent in the last 100 years.” He mobilized troops along borders and activated citizen militias in response. ...

September 2, 2025 · 3 min · Andrew Sheves

Monday SITREP: Global Ratings

Good morning. Suddenly, it’s September. Happy Labor Day to folks in the USA and Happy Independence Day to readers in Uzbekistan Earthquake hits Afghanistan A significant earthquake hit Afghanistan early Monday morning (local). Details are sparse at the time of writing, but the BBC has a live tracker here. Kashmir Floods Kill Dozens At least 40 people died and scores were injured as torrential rains triggered major landslides and flash floods in Indian-administered Kashmir, with Jammu recording its heaviest-ever 24-hour rainfall of 380mm that devastated communities and knocked out telecommunications. Most victims were Hindu pilgrims visiting the popular Vaishno Devi temple in Katra, while floods swept away bridges on the Tawi river and forced evacuation of over 5,000 people as the region’s main land route temporarily shut due to landslides. Environmental experts blamed poor resource management including felling a million trees and construction on floodplains for amplifying threats, with Chief Minister Omar Abdullah criticizing authorities for failing to implement flood mitigation measures since devastating 2014 floods that left residents haunted by memories of apocalyptic destruction. More - Al Jazeera ...

September 1, 2025 · 6 min · Andrew Sheves

Friday SITREP: Africa Focus

Africa Stability Ratings and News Summary More Unstable Algeria, Angola, Benin, Botswana, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Comoros, Democratic Republic Of The Congo, Djibouti, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Eswatini, Ethiopia, Gabon, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Ivory Coast, Kenya, Lesotho, Liberia, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Mauritania, Mozambique, Niger, Nigeria, Republic of the Congo, Rwanda, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Somalia, South Africa, South Sudan, Sudan, The Gambia, Togo, Uganda, Western Sahara, Zimbabwe More Stable No countries were more stable over this period. ...

August 29, 2025 · 2 min · Andrew Sheves

Thursday SITREP: Asia and Oceania Focus

Good morning, As a reminder, it’s just the regional news summaries this week while I’m out on leave. Asia Stability Ratings and News Summary More Unstable Afghanistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Cambodia, Georgia, India, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Laos, Myanmar, Nepal, North Korea, Pakistan, Philippines, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Tajikistan, Thailand, Turkmenistan, Vietnam More Stable No countries were more stable over this period Unchanged Bhutan, Brunei, China, East Timor, Japan, Malaysia, Maldives, Mongolia, Singapore, Uzbekistan ...

August 28, 2025 · 2 min · Andrew Sheves

Wednesday SITREP: Europe and MENA Focus

Europe Stability Ratings and News Summary More Unstable Albania, Austria, Belarus, Bosnia And Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Cyprus, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Italy, Macedonia, Moldova, Montenegro, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Russia, Serbia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom More Stable No countries were more stable over this period Unchanged Andorra, Belgium, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Iceland, Ireland, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Monaco, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Slovakia, Slovenia Regional News Summary Switzerland faces economic strain from U.S. trade tensions and tariffs. The nation experienced significant gold export increases in July as firms seek value preservation. Switzerland and Austria have proposed hosting negotiations between Putin and Ukrainian leadership to resolve the ongoing conflict. NATO defense officials are simultaneously evaluating security arrangements for Ukraine through virtual consultations. ...

August 27, 2025 · 2 min · Andrew Sheves

Tuesday SITREP: Americas Focus

Good morning, As a reminder, it’s just the ratings and regional news summaries this week while I’m on leave. Americas Stability Ratings and News Summary More Unstable Argentina, Belize, Bolivia, Brazil, Canada, Chile, Colombia, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, Ecuador, El Salvador, Guatemala, Guyana, Haiti, Honduras, Jamaica, Mexico, Nicaragua, Peru, Saint Lucia, Suriname, The Bahamas, Trinidad and Tobago, United States Of America, Venezuela More Stable No countries were more stable over this period ...

August 26, 2025 · 1 min · Andrew Sheves

Monday SITREP: Global Ratings

Good morning. As a reminder, it’s just the ratings and news summaries this week while I’m on leave. Global Stability Ratings Reminder: these ratings are generated by the Decis analysis engine, based on events in that location and how these correlate to the Decis stability matrix. Afghanistan is Critically Unstable, Albania is Weak, Algeria is Weak, Andorra is Stable, Angola is Weak, Antigua and Barbuda is Stable, Argentina is Weak, Armenia is Weak, Australia is Stable, Austria is Stable, Azerbaijan is Stable, Bahrain is Weak, Bangladesh is Weak, Barbados is Stable, Belarus is Unstable, Belgium is Stable, Belize is Weak, Benin is Weak, Bhutan is Weak, Bolivia is Unstable, Bosnia And Herzegovina is Weak, Botswana is Weak, Brazil is Weak, Brunei is Stable, Bulgaria is Weak, Burkina Faso is Unstable, Burundi is Weak, Cambodia is Weak, Cameroon is Weak, Canada is Stable, Cape Verde is Stable, Central African Republic is Unstable, Chad is Unstable, Chile is Stable, China is Stable, Colombia is Weak, Comoros is Weak, Costa Rica is Stable, Croatia is Stable, Cuba is Weak, Cyprus is Weak, Czech Republic is Stable, Democratic Republic Of The Congo is Unstable, Denmark is Stable, Djibouti is Weak, Dominica is Weak, Dominican Republic is Weak, East Timor is Stable, Ecuador is Weak, Egypt is Weak, El Salvador is Weak, Equatorial Guinea is Unstable, Eritrea is Weak, Estonia is Stable, Eswatini is Weak, Ethiopia is Unstable, Fiji is Stable, Finland is Stable, France is Stable, Gabon is Weak, Georgia is Weak, Germany is Weak, Ghana is Stable, Greece is Weak, Grenada is Stable, Guatemala is Weak, Guinea is Unstable, Guinea-Bissau is Unstable, Guyana is Weak, Haiti is Unstable, Honduras is Unstable, Hungary is Weak, Iceland is Stable, India is Weak, Indonesia is Weak, Iran is Weak, Iraq is Unstable, Ireland is Weak, Israel is Weak, Italy is Weak, Jamaica is Weak, Japan is Stable, Jordan is Weak, Kazakhstan is Weak, Kenya is Weak, Kuwait is Stable, Laos is Weak, Latvia is Stable, Lebanon is Unstable, Libya is Unstable, Liechtenstein is Stable, Lithuania is Stable, Luxembourg is Highly Stable, Malaysia is Stable, Mali is Unstable, Malta is Stable, Mexico is Weak, Moldova is Weak, Monaco is Stable, Mongolia is Stable, Morocco is Stable, Mozambique is Unstable, Myanmar is Unstable, Namibia is Stable, Nepal is Weak, Netherlands is Stable, New Zealand is Stable, Nicaragua is Unstable, Niger is Unstable, Nigeria is Unstable, North Korea is Unstable, Norway is Stable, Oman is Stable, Pakistan is Weak, Panama is Stable, Peru is Weak, Philippines is Stable, Poland is Stable, Portugal is Stable, Qatar is Stable, Romania is Stable, Russia is Unstable, Rwanda is Stable, Saudi Arabia is Weak, Senegal is Stable, Serbia is Unstable, Singapore is Stable, Slovakia is Stable, Slovenia is Stable, Somalia is Unstable, South Africa is Weak, South Korea is Stable, South Sudan is Critically Unstable, Spain is Weak, Sri Lanka is Weak, Sudan is Unstable, Sweden is Stable, Switzerland is Stable, Syria is Critically Unstable, Taiwan is Stable, Tanzania is Stable, Thailand is Weak, Turkey is Weak, Ukraine is Unstable, United Arab Emirates is Stable, United Kingdom is Stable, United States Of America is Stable, Uruguay is Stable, Uzbekistan is Stable, Venezuela is Unstable, Vietnam is Stable, Yemen is Critically Unstable, Zambia is Stable, Zimbabwe is Weak ...

August 25, 2025 · 3 min · Andrew Sheves

Friday SITREP: Africa Focus

Good morning. Lebanon Begins Disarming Palestinian Camps Lebanon launched a plan to disarm Palestinian groups in refugee camps, starting with weapons handovers from Burj al-Barajneh camp in Beirut as part of a wider disarmament campaign expected across all camps nationwide. More - Al Jazeera Russia Launches Heaviest Bombardment in Weeks Russia fired 574 drones and 40 missiles at Ukraine in one of the heaviest bombardments in weeks. More - BBC EU-US Detail Trade Deal Next Steps The US and EU formalized plans for their trade pact with specific benchmarks for European tariff reductions. More - Bloomberg ...

August 22, 2025 · 1 min · Andrew Sheves

Thursday SITREP: Asia and Oceania Focus

Good morning Russia Demands Role in Ukraine Security Talks Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov warned that discussing Ukraine security guarantees without Moscow’s participation is a “road to nowhere.” More - Al Jazeera Israel Begins Gaza City Assault Israeli forces launched “preliminary actions” for a planned assault on Gaza City. More - BBC Asia and Oceania Stability Ratings and News Summary Asia More Unstable Afghanistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, Cambodia, Georgia, India, Indonesia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Laos, Maldives, Myanmar, Nepal, North Korea, Pakistan, South Korea, Sri Lanka, Thailand, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan ...

August 21, 2025 · 1 min · Andrew Sheves

Wednesday SITREP: Europe and MENA Focus

Good morning. Modi Welcomes China Ties as US Criticism Escalates Indian Prime Minister Modi welcomed improved China relations and announced his first visit to China in seven years. More - Bloomberg Israel Rejects Ceasefire Plan: Demands All Hostages Released Israel is demanding the release of all 50 Gaza hostages rather than accepting a new 60-day ceasefire proposal that Hamas approved. More - BBC Europe and MENA Stability Ratings and News Summary Europe More Unstable Albania, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia And Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Finland, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Macedonia, Moldova, Montenegro, Norway, Poland, Russia, Serbia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine ...

August 20, 2025 · 1 min · Andrew Sheves