Posts

SITREP for Nov 20, 2024 Andrew Sheves Good morning. Three quick headlines. Russia vetoed a UN Security Council resolution calling for a ceasefire in Sudan’s civil war. [SOURCE - BBC] *Note, Sudan remains one of the world’s worst humanitarian crises but seems overshadowed by the wars in Ukraine and the Levant. Read more on the humanitirna situation in Sudan from ReliefWeb. * The Tunisian opposition leader was badly injured in an acid attack and had been hospitalized. [SOURCE - Bloomberg] The exact motive remains unclear but Tunisia’s opposition has been slowly whittled away since Kais Saied’s unconvincing electoral victory in October. ...

SITREP for Nov 19 2024 Andrew Sheves Good morning. Two quick headlines worth noting. An undersea cable between Germany and Finland was severed on Monday. The German Defence Minister noted that “nobody believes that these cables were cut accidentally”. [SOURCE - BBC] Note - Russia is the likely culprit here, and this fits with Moscow’s larger ‘hybrid war’ strategy they are pursuing across Europe.* See the **Washington Post *for more. ...

Andrew Sheves Good morning. A quick editorial note* - The minute I hit ‘send’ on Friday, I realized that I had the SITREP schedule backward: it’s better to get the complete ratings on a Monday than the country comparisons as part of the regional. I also want to cover any big events that took place over the weekend on a Monday so the schedule going forward will be as follows.* ...

Friday Stability Roundup and a Deep Dive[ What Does Trump 2.0 Mean Internationally? Andrew Sheves Good morning. Monday through Thursday, we cover each region with the stability situation and regional news but Fridays are when we take a deeper dive into an issue and give you a rundown of the baseline stability ratings for each country. Today’s deep dive is a look at what the second Trump term means on a geopolitical basis. ...

SITREP for Nov 14 2024 Andrew Sheves Good morning. Intro Commodity and Rate Snapshot 🛢️** Crude Futures (WTI)** $68.76 💵 **USD:EUR ** $1.051 (Price of 1EUR in USD) ₿ Bitcoin $91,208.50 As at Nov 14, 06:00ET -Data is illustrative, not for decision-making. Financial data via Bloomberg, Freightos and AlphaVantage Africa Stability Ratings and News Summary More Unstable 🇩🇿 Algeria, 🇦🇴 Angola, 🇧🇯 Benin, 🇧🇼 Botswana, 🇧🇫 Burkina Faso, 🇧🇮 Burundi, 🇨🇲 Cameroon, 🇨🇫 Central African Republic, 🇹🇩 Chad, 🇰🇲 Comoros, 🇨🇩 Democratic Republic Of The Congo, 🇩🇯 Djibouti, 🇬🇶 Equatorial Guinea, 🇪🇷 Eritrea, 🇸🇿 Eswatini, 🇪🇹 Ethiopia, 🇬🇦 Gabon, 🇬🇳 Guinea, 🇬🇼 Guinea-Bissau, 🇨🇮 Ivory Coast, 🇰🇪 Kenya, 🇱🇷 Liberia, 🇲🇬 Madagascar, 🇲🇼 Malawi, 🇲🇱 Mali, 🇲🇷 Mauritania, 🇲🇺 Mauritius, 🇲🇿 Mozambique, 🇳🇪 Niger, 🇳🇬 Nigeria, 🇨🇬 Republic of the Congo, 🇷🇼 Rwanda, 🇸🇴 Somalia, 🇿🇦 South Africa, 🇸🇸 South Sudan, 🇸🇩 Sudan, 🇹🇿 Tanzania, 🇹🇬 Togo, 🇺🇬 Uganda, 🇪🇭 Western Sahara, 🇿🇲 Zambia, 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe ...

SITREP for Nov 13 2024 Andrew Sheves Good morning. Something that’s not appearing in the news very much — and therefore slipping by the models — are a series of violent attacks in China including a mass stabbing and a motorist killing 35 people in a deliberate attack. Chinese authorities are quick to clamp down on any event that suggests a lack of control, and news of these events is suppressed, as reported by the BBC. ...

Decis SITREP for 12 November 2024 Andrew Sheves Good morning. Here’s today’s SITREP covering Europe, The Middle East and North Africa. Commodity and Rate Snapshot 🛢️** Crude Futures (WTI)** $68.52 💵 **USD:EUR ** $ 1.062* ₿ Bitcoin $87,015.19 *Price of 1EUR in USD. Values updated ~0600ET Nov 12. Data is illustrative, not for decision-making. Financial data via Bloomberg, Freightos and AlphaVantage Europe Stability Ratings and News Summary More Unstable 🇦🇱 Albania, 🇧🇾 Belarus, 🇧🇪 Belgium, 🇧🇦 Bosnia And Herzegovina, 🇪🇪 Estonia, 🇫🇷 France, 🇩🇪 Germany, 🇭🇺 Hungary, 🇮🇪 Ireland, 🇱🇻 Latvia, 🇲🇰 Macedonia, 🇲🇩 Moldova, 🇲🇪 Montenegro, 🇳🇱 Netherlands, 🇷🇴 Romania, 🇷🇺 Russia, 🇪🇸 Spain, 🇸🇪 Sweden, 🇹🇷 Turkey, 🇺🇦 Ukraine ...

Decis SITREP for Nov 11, 2011 Andrew Sheves Good morning and welcome back to the Decis Daily SITREPS. (What are these?) Please thank a Veteran for their service today. Commodity and Rate Snapshot 🛢️** Crude Futures (WTI)** $69.02 🚢 Containers (FBX Index) $3,564.2 💵 **USD:EUR ** $1.066 (Price of 1EUR in USD) ₿ Bitcoin $82,102.88 As at Nov 11, 07:00ET -Data is illustrative, not for decision-making. Financial data via Bloomberg, Freightos and AlphaVantage ...

Daily briefings are coming your way again Andrew Sheves Happy Sunday I wanted to give you a heads-up that, starting tomorrow, the Decis SITREP will be rolling into your inbox again. Unlike previous versions, I’m going back to basics and keeping things simple, reminding myself that we’re not a forecasting shop, meme factory, or provider of cocktail-party intelligence. There are plenty of those folks out there already. But, what we’re short on is data and intelligence. And data-driven intelligence is what we need to make decisions ...

How to Use AI as a Security Risk Manager[ An AI AI White Paper Andrew Sheves (I’ll keep this short as I don’t want to suddenly spam your inbox after weeks of silence.) I’ve been collaborating with Doug Gray from HumanRisks on an AI white paper these last few months, and I’m pleased to announce that it’s now published. We took a much deeper dive into the topic than in any of our previous work, conducting a thorough review of how AI can assist security risk managers. We based this on the most recent academic studies of how knowledge workers make best use of these tools and aligned these AI benefits with identified gaps and challenges in Security Risk Management. ...