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Israel-Iran Ceasefire, Niger Nationalizes Uranium Mine, India Blames Pakistan for Kashmir Attack Andrew Sheves Good morning, 🇮🇱** 🇮🇷 Israel-Iran Ceasefire / Conflict Update** ⚠️ As of writing at 05:30ET, there are reports that Iran just fired two missiles at Israel, reports that Iran’s State media has denied. The IDF has vowed that Israel will retaliate “with force” so there may be some last-minute confusion and exchange of fire before the ceasefire fully holds. ...

Israel-Iran Conflict Update, Syria Church Bombing Kills 22, Niger Army Base Attacked Andrew Sheves Good morning, 🇮🇱** 🇮🇷 Israel-Iran Conflict Update** Yesterday’s revised analysis following the US strikes is here Key Military Developments US Airstrikes on Iranian Nuclear Sites: The United States conducted overnight strikes on June 22 targeting three key Iranian nuclear facilities: Fordow, Isfahan, and Natanz. The attacks used B-2 stealth bombers equipped with 30,000-pound bunker-buster bombs and Tomahawk cruise missiles123. ...

Decis Analysis Dated June 22 2025 Good morning - here’s the latest synthesized analysis of the situation in the Middle East. There’s a separate investment memo available - please email me if you would like a copy. Reminder, this is the initial analysis of a very dynamic situation conducted by AI. See the end of the report for full disclosures. CURRENT SITUATION Here is a detailed update on the latest developments in the Israel-Iran conflict over the last 24 hours (June 21–22, 2025), based on the most recent credible sources: ...

Israel-Iran Latest Events, DRC - Rwanda Peace Draft, Mexico Cleans Up After Hurricane, Andrew Sheves Good morning Latest Developments in the Israel-Iran Conflict (June 19–20, 2025) Direct Military Actions Major Missile Attack on Hospital in Israel: On June 19, Iran launched a significant missile barrage against Israel, with a direct strike on Soroka Medical Center in Be’er Sheva, southern Israel. The attack left the hospital burning and resulted in at least 65 injuries. Overall, Iranian missile attacks since June 13 have killed 24 Israelis and wounded more than 800[1][3]. ...

Latest Update on the Israel-Iran Conflict Andrew Sheves Good morning. Apologies for the late SITREP Latest Update Israel-Iran Conflict (June 18–19, 2025) Escalation and Military Developments On June 18 and 19, the conflict between Israel and Iran intensified notably. Iran launched a new wave of missiles targeting central and southern Israel, inflicting significant damage on key infrastructure, including a direct hit on Soroka Hospital. This attack was part of an escalating cycle of retaliatory strikes between the two nations[1]. ...

Israel-Iran Conflict Lates, Gaza Aid Site Massacre, Indonesia Volcano Alert Raised, Massive Russian Attack on Kyiv Andrew Sheves Good morning. 🇮🇱** 🇮🇷 **Israel-Iran Conflict Update: June 17–18, 2025 Overview of the Last 24 Hours · Escalation of Hostilities: The conflict between Israel and Iran has intensified, with both sides launching new waves of missile and air strikes. Early Wednesday, Iran fired two barrages of ballistic missiles at Israel, while Israel continued its air campaign targeting Iranian military and nuclear infrastructure, especially around Tehran and Isfahan[1][2][3][4]. ...

Israel-Iran Latest, Nigeria Attack Kills 100 in East, Mexican Mayor Shot Dead Andrew Sheves Good morning, 🇮🇱** 🇮🇷 Israel-Iran Conflict Update: June 16–17, 2025** Overview The conflict between Israel and Iran has sharply escalated over the past 24 hours, with both countries exchanging missile and drone strikes, resulting in significant casualties, infrastructure damage, and global market volatility123. Military and Civilian Developments Israeli Strikes on Iran Israel continued its air campaign targeting Iranian military and nuclear facilities, including IRGC and Artesh Air Force positions in Tehran Province, and missile launch sites in Markazi and Qom provinces23. ...

Analysis: +72 hours Escalation Scenarios and Regional Stability Assessment Following Israel’s Strikes Against Iran[ Decis Updated Assessment - Operation Rising Lion - 0600ET Monday, June 16 2025 Andrew Sheves Updated Assessment on Iranian Response Scenarios as at 0600 ET June 16 Reminder This is a rapidly developing situation and events may have changed since the time of this report. This report and the simulations were conducted using artificial intelligence. These include reasonable assumptions and best attempts to map out how events may unfold but there is significant uncertainty in these assessments. Full disclainers are contained at the end of the report. ...

Operation Rising Lion Update, G7 Meeting in Canada Andrew Sheves Good morning, Here’s a summary of the latest Decis assessment of Israel’s Operation ‘Rising Lion’ against Iran. The full assessment will be published here at 07:30ET Overview of the Conflict The conflict between Israel and Iran has escalated dramatically since Israel launched Operation Rising Lion on June 12–13, 2025. The operation began with a surprise Israeli airstrike aimed at dismantling Iran’s nuclear and missile capabilities, targeting both military and nuclear infrastructure. In response, Iran has launched multiple waves of ballistic missile attacks on Israeli cities, resulting in significant civilian casualties and widespread destruction on both sides. ...

Analysis: Post-Strike Escalation Scenarios and Regional Stability Assessment Following Israel’s “Operation Rising Lion” Against Iran[ Analysis: Post-Strike Escalation Scenarios and Regional Stability Assessment Following Israel’s “Operation Rising Lion” Against Iran Analysis: Post-Strike Escalation Scenarios and Regional Stability Assessment Following Israel’s “Operation Rising Lion” Against Iran Decis Initial Assessment Dated 07:00ET Friday, June 13 2025 Andrew Sheves EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Iran will likely execute a calibrated multi-phase response combining direct military action, proxy activation, and accelerated nuclear development. The elimination of senior leadership creates dangerous unpredictability in Iranian decision-making. Regional escalation to broader conflict assessed as HIGH PROBABILITY (65-75%) within 30 days. ...