Product

Good morning I have some bittersweet news to share: yesterday was the last full SITREP. That’s the bitter part. The sweet part is that the SITREP is ending because Decis has just been acquired and we are becoming part of Hedron Analytics. Here’s the official announcement. I am delighted to announce that Decis Intelligence (Decis) is merging with Hedron Analytics, Inc. (Hedron), a company that shares our values, vision, and commitment to innovation and excellence in helping our customers solve their hardest problems. Hedron’s expertise in advisory services, professional services, and emerging technologies, combined with Decis’ artificial intelligence (AI) decision-support and intelligence capabilities, opens extraordinary opportunities for growth, collaboration, and expanded support for our customers and partners. ...

Why we’re participating in the Metaculus Forecasting Tournament The Decis Intelligence agents weren’t designed to be forecasting tools. (In fact, I have a draft article explaining why we aren’t in the prediction business.) However, as I was building out the scenario planning tools, it was obvious that if these were to be useful, I needed a way to determine how effective, realistic, and accurate the scenario likelihood estimates were. But, as Andrew Ng wrote recently, evals and benchmarking are hard and expensive to set up. And in this case, how do you even evaluate the effectiveness of a forward-looking forecast? ...

Decis + HumanRisks We’re excited to announce our new partnership with HumanRisks (humanrisks.com). We’re integrating the Decis Country Intelligence feed directly into their comprehensive security risk management platform as a fully embedded data feed. This integration will provide security managers and asset owners with immediate access to Decis country risk ratings, directional assessments, and key news summaries—essential contextual information for making informed security decisions. The integration goes live on April 1st and will be available to both existing and new HumanRisks users on a trial basis. ...

Decis Audio Briefing Demo[ The world doesn’t need a new podcast (but you might) Andrew Sheves 🙀 My mind is officially blown. I tested Google’s Notebook LM (no, I don’t know why this took me so long to test) and am really impressed with the results. I gave it all of last week’s regional reports and it turned these into a conversation-style podcast. But it’s not just two voices reading the reports verbatim: it’s a natural-sounding discussion. ...

New Metrics Demo[ No Live Ratings Today Andrew Sheves Good morning - I’m transitioning the newsletters to a new system so am resynching everything, meaning that there are no updated country baseline ratings today. (These are still available and cuup to date in the workspace). Instead, here’s what the updated SITREP metrics will look like. Key Metrics WTI is $71.03 (Down) Low |—- < —————| High Wheat is $197.372 (Down) ...