Andrew Sheves Good morning. A quick editorial note* - The minute I hit ‘send’ on Friday, I realized that I had the SITREP schedule backward: it’s better to get the complete ratings on a Monday than the country comparisons as part of the regional. I also want to cover any big events that took place over the weekend on a Monday so the schedule going forward will be as follows.* ...
Friday Stability Roundup and a Deep Dive[ What Does Trump 2.0 Mean Internationally? Andrew Sheves Good morning. Monday through Thursday, we cover each region with the stability situation and regional news but Fridays are when we take a deeper dive into an issue and give you a rundown of the baseline stability ratings for each country. Today’s deep dive is a look at what the second Trump term means on a geopolitical basis. ...
SITREP for Nov 14 2024 Andrew Sheves Good morning. Intro Commodity and Rate Snapshot 🛢️** Crude Futures (WTI)** $68.76 💵 **USD:EUR ** $1.051 (Price of 1EUR in USD) ₿ Bitcoin $91,208.50 As at Nov 14, 06:00ET -Data is illustrative, not for decision-making. Financial data via Bloomberg, Freightos and AlphaVantage Africa Stability Ratings and News Summary More Unstable 🇩🇿 Algeria, 🇦🇴 Angola, 🇧🇯 Benin, 🇧🇼 Botswana, 🇧🇫 Burkina Faso, 🇧🇮 Burundi, 🇨🇲 Cameroon, 🇨🇫 Central African Republic, 🇹🇩 Chad, 🇰🇲 Comoros, 🇨🇩 Democratic Republic Of The Congo, 🇩🇯 Djibouti, 🇬🇶 Equatorial Guinea, 🇪🇷 Eritrea, 🇸🇿 Eswatini, 🇪🇹 Ethiopia, 🇬🇦 Gabon, 🇬🇳 Guinea, 🇬🇼 Guinea-Bissau, 🇨🇮 Ivory Coast, 🇰🇪 Kenya, 🇱🇷 Liberia, 🇲🇬 Madagascar, 🇲🇼 Malawi, 🇲🇱 Mali, 🇲🇷 Mauritania, 🇲🇺 Mauritius, 🇲🇿 Mozambique, 🇳🇪 Niger, 🇳🇬 Nigeria, 🇨🇬 Republic of the Congo, 🇷🇼 Rwanda, 🇸🇴 Somalia, 🇿🇦 South Africa, 🇸🇸 South Sudan, 🇸🇩 Sudan, 🇹🇿 Tanzania, 🇹🇬 Togo, 🇺🇬 Uganda, 🇪🇭 Western Sahara, 🇿🇲 Zambia, 🇿🇼 Zimbabwe ...
SITREP for Nov 13 2024 Andrew Sheves Good morning. Something that’s not appearing in the news very much — and therefore slipping by the models — are a series of violent attacks in China including a mass stabbing and a motorist killing 35 people in a deliberate attack. Chinese authorities are quick to clamp down on any event that suggests a lack of control, and news of these events is suppressed, as reported by the BBC. ...
Decis SITREP for 12 November 2024 Andrew Sheves Good morning. Here’s today’s SITREP covering Europe, The Middle East and North Africa. Commodity and Rate Snapshot 🛢️** Crude Futures (WTI)** $68.52 💵 **USD:EUR ** $ 1.062* ₿ Bitcoin $87,015.19 *Price of 1EUR in USD. Values updated ~0600ET Nov 12. Data is illustrative, not for decision-making. Financial data via Bloomberg, Freightos and AlphaVantage Europe Stability Ratings and News Summary More Unstable 🇦🇱 Albania, 🇧🇾 Belarus, 🇧🇪 Belgium, 🇧🇦 Bosnia And Herzegovina, 🇪🇪 Estonia, 🇫🇷 France, 🇩🇪 Germany, 🇭🇺 Hungary, 🇮🇪 Ireland, 🇱🇻 Latvia, 🇲🇰 Macedonia, 🇲🇩 Moldova, 🇲🇪 Montenegro, 🇳🇱 Netherlands, 🇷🇴 Romania, 🇷🇺 Russia, 🇪🇸 Spain, 🇸🇪 Sweden, 🇹🇷 Turkey, 🇺🇦 Ukraine ...
Decis SITREP for Nov 11, 2011 Andrew Sheves Good morning and welcome back to the Decis Daily SITREPS. (What are these?) Please thank a Veteran for their service today. Commodity and Rate Snapshot 🛢️** Crude Futures (WTI)** $69.02 🚢 Containers (FBX Index) $3,564.2 💵 **USD:EUR ** $1.066 (Price of 1EUR in USD) ₿ Bitcoin $82,102.88 As at Nov 11, 07:00ET -Data is illustrative, not for decision-making. Financial data via Bloomberg, Freightos and AlphaVantage ...
Daily briefings are coming your way again Andrew Sheves Happy Sunday I wanted to give you a heads-up that, starting tomorrow, the Decis SITREP will be rolling into your inbox again. Unlike previous versions, I’m going back to basics and keeping things simple, reminding myself that we’re not a forecasting shop, meme factory, or provider of cocktail-party intelligence. There are plenty of those folks out there already. But, what we’re short on is data and intelligence. And data-driven intelligence is what we need to make decisions ...
UK Riots, Ukrainian Troops Strike Deep into Russia and a New Leader in Bangladesh[ Decis SITREP for August 12 2024 Andrew Sheves Good morning. This week, we’re looking at the recent violent anti-immigration protests by far-right mobs in the UK alongside Ukraine’s surprise offensive deep into Russian territory. Plus, things have calmed dramatically in Bangladesh as the new Prime Minster settles in. (By the way, this week’s newsletter is a bit of an experiment as I am letting the AIs do the majority of the writing for the updates. Let me know what you think.) ...
Too Quiet in the Levant, Nigeria’s 10-days of Rage and What’s Hungary Up To?[ Plus Changes in Bangladesh. Andrew Sheves Good morning. A tense weekend in the Levant has given way to an anxious week as everyone waits to see how Iran and Hezbollah respond to recent attacks by Israel. Meanwhile, Hungary’s Victor Orban continues to be Europe’s most troublesome family member, while youths in Nigeria are staging ‘ten days of rage’ to protest economic conditions. ...
🇮🇱 Israel: Downgraded to WEAK[ 🇮🇱 Israel: Downgraded to WEAK 🇮🇱 Israel: Downgraded to WEAK Internal and External Pressures Are Pulling Israel Towards Instability Andrew Sheves Good morning The increasing pressure on Israel has made me question the ongoing rating of STABLE for several months now, but events over the last week — both internal and external — have led me to the conclusion that the country’s stability rating should be downgraded to WEAK. ...