SITREP

UK Riots, Ukrainian Troops Strike Deep into Russia and a New Leader in Bangladesh[ Decis SITREP for August 12 2024 Andrew Sheves Good morning. This week, we’re looking at the recent violent anti-immigration protests by far-right mobs in the UK alongside Ukraine’s surprise offensive deep into Russian territory. Plus, things have calmed dramatically in Bangladesh as the new Prime Minster settles in. (By the way, this week’s newsletter is a bit of an experiment as I am letting the AIs do the majority of the writing for the updates. Let me know what you think.) ...

Too Quiet in the Levant, Nigeria’s 10-days of Rage and What’s Hungary Up To?[ Plus Changes in Bangladesh. Andrew Sheves Good morning. A tense weekend in the Levant has given way to an anxious week as everyone waits to see how Iran and Hezbollah respond to recent attacks by Israel. Meanwhile, Hungary’s Victor Orban continues to be Europe’s most troublesome family member, while youths in Nigeria are staging ‘ten days of rage’ to protest economic conditions. ...

🇮🇱 Israel: Downgraded to WEAK[ 🇮🇱 Israel: Downgraded to WEAK 🇮🇱 Israel: Downgraded to WEAK Internal and External Pressures Are Pulling Israel Towards Instability Andrew Sheves Good morning The increasing pressure on Israel has made me question the ongoing rating of STABLE for several months now, but events over the last week — both internal and external — have led me to the conclusion that the country’s stability rating should be downgraded to WEAK. ...

Israel / Hezbollah Heats Up, Maduro Declares Victory and Bangladesh Protest Effects[ Decis Monday Briefing & Weekly Country Stability Matrix - July 29, 2024 Andrew Sheves Good morning. A Hezbollah attack in the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights on Saturday significantly ratcheted up tension on Israel’s northern border. Israel has yet to respond (as of Mondat am ET), but careful calibration is needed to avoid this boiling over into all-out conflict, which would be disastrous for Israel. ...

Eyes On Bangladesh, America and Venezuela[ Decis Monday Briefing & Weekly Country Stability Matrix - July 22 2024 Andrew Sheves Good morning. Here’s a quick round-up of some significant stories to help you prepare for the week(s) ahead. But first, the stability matrix. Apologies but you’ll need to turn your phone and zoom in if you’re reading this on a mobile - I’ll work on enlarging the matrix over time. ...

Better Decisions, Faster[ Welcome to Decis Intelligence I’ve never met a capable decision-maker who didn’t want the best available intelligence. Nor have I met a slow team that excelled. However, too much data — an excess of noise — drowns out the vital signal decision-makers need, so more isn’t better. And in a faster-paced, more connected world, there isn’t the time to wait for tomorrow’s morning brief or for an analyst to be available to hop on a call. ...

Three Hot Takes: Yemen, Venezuela–Guyana and Israel – Gaza[ Three Hot Takes: Yemen, Venezuela–Guyana and Israel – Gaza Three Hot Takes: Yemen, Venezuela–Guyana and Israel – Gaza DCDR Analysis for March 5 2024 Andrew Sheves Good morning. **Welcome to the SITREP for March 5th, 2024. ** As promised, I’m going to try to add some more analysis in addition to the country stability reports. So here are three hot takes on Yemen, Venezuela —Guyana, and Israel — Gaza. ...

Three Flashpoints to Watch 🔥[ Three Flashpoints to Watch 🔥 Three Flashpoints to Watch 🔥 Sometimes, things get worse… before they get worse. Andrew Sheves Good morning. Welcome to a very late DCDR Research report for February 22, 2024 Why so late? The DCDR analysis engine is working very well (honestly, it’s way better out of the box than I had anticipated). So, I’ll normally let the model do most of the work and I don’t need to add any commentary. ...

Deep Dive: Shipping & Supply Chain Disruptions[ A deep dive into how to track and prepare for supply chain interruptions Andrew Sheves Welcome to this week’s PRO Research report. These are long-form analyses of something that’s important to decision-makers, giving them the background and context on the issue along with some insight into how things might develop. This week’s report focuses on maritime supply chains, what can interrupt these, and how you can make your supply chain more resilient. ...

Essential Rare Earth Minerals and Base Metals: Supply and Stability[ DCDR Deep Dive Report Andrew Sheves Welcome to the first of the DCDR PRO Research reports: long-form analysis of something that’s important to decision-makers, giving them the background and context on the issue along with some insight into how things might develop. These reports will be part of the upcoming PRO subscription that starts soon. Where possible, these reports also include applicable mitigation measures where there are across-the-board steps that every organization can implement. That way, you’ll understand the issue, can start determining what it means for your organization, and start taking action as quickly as possible. ...